[
-
内容大纲
本书试图构造一个经济发展方式投入产出模型，把需求结构、要素投入以及产业结构纳入统一的分析框架，以行业部门为载体，通过对中国42个行业经济发展方式投入产出模型各种投入要素的产出系数进行计量估计，对我国的经济发展方式进行考察，最后以主导产业的选择为切入点来探索中国经济发展方式转变和高质量发展的路径。本书计量结果显示，未来中国的主导产业，通讯电子和服务业具有较大发展潜力。通讯电子信息产业的创新可塑性很大，同时其巨大的国内市场可以拉动内需和带动就业，而且它也是资源节约和环境友好的，通讯电子信息产业也具有较强的产业关联作用，可以广泛渗透到国民经济的各个部门。服务业资源和资本节约、环境友好、内需导向、有利于扩大就业的特点同样应该当作国民经济的重点。社会福利及社会保障服务业是我国面临人口老龄化形势下应该大力发展的行业，它将是中国未来新的经济增长点。 -
作者介绍
吴金铎，女，湖北武汉人，经济学博士，应用经济学流动站出站博士后。复旦大学发展研究院兼职研究员。曾在《世界经济研究》PhysicsProcedia等国内外杂志公开发表中英文学术论文数篇，部分被中国人民大学《复印报刊资料》全文转载。在《环球时报》（GlobalTimes）、英国《金融时报》（FT中文）、《国际金融报》等报刊发表30余篇专业评论，财新专栏作家。参与“Shang－haiatCenterStage：TheFreeTradeZoneandtheInternationalFinancialCenter＂《“十二五”时期促进中部崛起若干问题研究》等三部中英文专著的撰写。曾作为主研人参与亚洲开发银行技术援助中国项目（TA7192－PRC）。撰写国务院政策研究室信息研究司内参、上海市政府自贸区内参，部分获得重要领导批示。 -
目录
Chapter 1 Transformation Dilemma
1.1 Intemal Contradictions and Extemal Shocks
1.1.1 Past rapid growth and high quality outlook
1.1.2 The central committee's important exposition on the economic development mode since reform and opening-up
1.1.3 Difficulties in changing China's traditional economic development mode
1.1.4 Industrial permutations & combinations and economic development mode transformation
1.2 Intension and Extension of Economic Development Mode
1.2.1 Literature reviews of economic growth mode and economic development mode
1.2.2 Types of economic development modes
1.2.3 The argument about the way to realize the transformation of economic development mode
1.3 Industrial Priority and Industrial Combination
1.3.1 Criteria for industry priority
1.3.2 Relations between leading industries and corresponding industries
1.3.3 Industrial priority and benchmark of industrial arrangement and combination
1.3.4 Summary of selection methods of leading industries
1.4 Research Route, Methods and Innovations
1.4.1 Research guidelines and framework
1.4.2 Innovations and shortcomings of this book
Chapter 2 Theoretical Origins of Leading Industries and Development Modes
2.1 The Origin of Industrial Policy in Western Classical Economics
2.1.1 Adams's view of economic development and industrial priorities
2.1.2 David Ricardo's economic development theory and industrial priority
2.2 Relevant Theory of Leading Industry and Economic Development
2.2.1 The development for law of Petty industry
2.2.2 The evolution of industrial structure
2.2.3 Hoffman and Yuke Iwatani's industrialization theory
2.2.4 Chenery's evolution theory of leading industries
2.2.5 Rostow's theory on leading industry
2.2.6 Helchman's "Unbalanced Growth Theory
2.3 Summary of This Chapter
Chapter 3 Economic Development Model and Empirical Study--Based on Input-output Framework
3.1 Basic Ideas of Input-output Model Design for Economic Development Mode
3.1 .I Equilibrium of input-output table of economic development mode in industrial level
3.1.2 Data sources and industrial classification
3.2 Correlation Coefficient of Input-output Model of Economic Development Mode
3.2.1 Induced coefficient of domestic demand
3.2.2 Import and export inducement
3.2.3 Investment multiplier
3.2.4 Employment coefficient
3.2.5 Energy consumption coefficient
3.2.6 Environmental emission coefficient
3.2.7 Technology spillover
3.3 EmpiricalAnalysis of Input-output Efficiency of Economic Development
3.3.1 Stochastic frontier production function setting
4.3 Comparison and Review of Existing Leading Industry Selection Schemes
4.3.1 Program of Chinese academy of social sciences
4.3.2 Former national planning commission program
4.3.3 Development research center program of the State Council
4.4 Selection of Leading Industries and Review of Industrial Policies
4.4.1 Relevant policies to support key industries during the ninth five-year plan
4.4.2 The focus industries and related policies during the tenth five-year plan
4.4.3 Key industries during the eleventh five-year plan
4.4.4 Changes in industrial policies from the ninth five-year plan to the eleventh five-year plan
4.5 Experiences on Leading Industries and Economic Development Mode
4.5.1 Cases from the USA
4.5.2 Cases of Japan
4.5.3 Cases from Germany
4.5.4 Cases of South Korea
4.6 Summary of This Chapter
Chapter 5 Current Situation and Future Prospects of China's Economic Development Mode
5.1 Analysis of the Contents of China's Economic Development Mode
5.1.1 Elements and structures of China's economic development
5.1.2 Analysis of the industrial structure of China's economic development
5.1.3 Analysis of demand structure of China's economic development
5.2 An Analysis of China's Leading Industries--Based on China's Real Estate Industry
5.2.1 The background of the prosperity of China's real estate industry
5.2.2 The current status of China's real estate market
5.2.3 Causes for the prosperity of China's real estate industry as a pillar industry
5.3 Prospect of China's Real Estate Market and Outlook of Future Leading Industries
5.3.1 The measurement of the bubble in China's real estate market
5.3.2 The prospect of China's real estate industry and the outlook of the leading industry in the future
Chapter 6 Policy Suggestions on the Development of Leading Industries and the Change of Economic Development Mode in China
6.1 Principles for Developing Leading Industries and Changing the Mode of Economic Development
6.1.1 Grasp the opportunities for leading industries replacement
6.1.2 Coordinating leading industries and supporting industries
6.1.3 Strengthen government guidance on the basis of market regulation
6.2 Suggestions on Transforming the Mode of Economic Development
6.2.1 Electronic information industry
6.2.2 Strategic emerging industries
6.2.3 Promoting the integration of services and other industries
Conclusions
References
同类热销排行榜
[an error occurred while processing this directive]推荐书目
-
孩子你慢慢来/人生三书 华人世界率性犀利的一枝笔，龙应台独家授权《孩子你慢慢来》20周年经典新版。她的《...
-
时间简史(插图版) 相对论、黑洞、弯曲空间……这些词给我们的感觉是艰深、晦涩、难以理解而且与我们的...
-
本质(精) 改革开放40年，恰如一部四部曲的年代大戏。技术突变、产品迭代、产业升级、资本对接...